PinnerPaul
RefChat Addict
Hope you recover soon!Injured. Unknown timescale
Hope you recover soon!Injured. Unknown timescale
Gutted! Leg pain. Nerve compressed/irritated somewhere further upstream. This is what happens to finely tuned athletesHope you recover soon!
Gutted! Leg pain. Nerve compressed/irritated somewhere further upstream. This is what happens to finely tuned athletes
One thing I've learnt in the last 13 months is NEVER try to predict what's coming next!Thought I'd bring the Covid discussion back to the fore. I chuckle when @RustyRef puts his pessimism on the line and I've often got a more optimistic view on this whole Covid thing. Like I thought, many Grass Roots Leagues would see the season out and County Promotion schemes would continue
But I think the Govt. have falsely sold us the notion of a 'one-way-ticket' out of Lockdown. I'm not optimistic that this is the last of it (in particular, as far as football disruption is concerned). News from Chile and Brazil is not boding well. Manaus (for example) thought they'd achieved 'herd immunity', but sadly new variants have seen to that. Also, Chile (third highest vaccinations per Capita) are back in the mire (although their Chinese vaccine efficacy is questionable)
So I thought I'd brighten up everyone's day with my cheery thoughts
Yep, think you're right, problem is HOW we 'live with it' - everyone's views on that vary enormously!Population vaccinations or whatever else aside, the Chinese gift is something we're all gonna have to live with and react to on a sliding scale for a long time yet I think ..
Yep, think you're right, problem is HOW we 'live with it' - everyone's views on that vary enormously!
Has a virus of this nature and of this pandemic scale ever been denied the process of natural selection before by means of a global vaccination effort?
No
Can we therefore predict which (otherwise minor) variants will become locally dominant and whether they will kill their hosts and have an R of 7?
I wouldn't have thought so
It would be interesting if those Epidemiologists, Virologists & Mathematicians, would get on that there Tele to share their thoughts on whether Grass Roots footy will be OK, or if this is the end of humanity
I don't believe the dynamics of Polio are much the same as Covid. Measles yes, except for the 100% vaccinePolio? Nowhere near as infectious as Covid but certainly a pandemic that a vaccine has all but wiped out. Measles, TB, there are several that used to be real problems but have been effectively controlled using vaccines. The difference from now to the past is that much more is known about viruses and pandemics. Something like the Spanish flu, technology just wasn't there to quickly create a vaccine, but there were serious lockdowns. Countries implemented quarantines, people were confined to home, shops / pubs, etc were forced to close, mass gatherings banned (all starting to sound familiar ... ?!).
Pandemics happen, this wasn't the first and it certainly won't be the last. The difference is now they can be managed better, hence why there have been 3 million Covid deaths as opposed to as many as 100 million from Spanish flu, and we now have TV, Internet, working from home, so managing pandemics are much, much easier.
I don't believe the dynamics of Polio are much the same as Covid. Measles yes, except for the 100% vaccine
I don't know though. Of course I don't
However, for all the politically motivated documentaries about how Governments have responded to the pandemic, I've not seen anything of interest addressing the science or mathematics or modelling of where the pandemic is likely to take us all
I mostly agree with this, at least as it applies to the US, Europe, and some other wealth countries. I think things are still going to be awful if many poor countries. And a variant immune to the vaccines could throw a wrench in everything. that means those of us in wealthy countries have a strong interest in helping poor countries reach herd immunity, too, as that reduces the opportunities for mutation.There's reason to be positive, potentially rocky roads ahead yes, but I'm confident we are over the worst now.